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Friday, February 13, 2009

Estasblishing What Moves Work and Don't

When you are looking over all the trades and free agent signing you must remember a few things. One thing is that some teams spend lots of money on stacking a roster and then they can't pull it all together. Lets look at last years Detroit Tigers. They made the most moves of any team with the biggest names available via trades and free agency. What they ended up with is a high payroll and pretty much out of the pennant race before the 20th game of the year. they had a few runs of wins, but their losing streaks left them too far behind in a competitive American League Central. They finished last in the division with a .457 record.

So that brings me to the New York Yankees. They have done bought a pitching staff which was needed badly. Will it make the difference. Probably, but to what extent.

The importance of what i am trying to advice you about is that you shouldn't always draft an average player because he has moved into a better situation or team. Sometimes it can slow down his production because it is shared with other great players.

So when should you draft a player who has been moved? In his appropriate round once weighing his past production vs his future projected output. so before going into your draft look over all the moves made with all teams and check each players past fantasy output with what his future might hold with his new team and what he means to that team. for instance, AJ Burnett was THE MAN in Toronto and now that he is only 2nd in New York behind CC Sabathia he might not feel the urgency to get a win every night or might he not feel as much pressure and pitch even better? that is what some research or a gut feeling might help you answer.

All in all there is no proven why to say what a player in a new setting will contribute to fantasy, but always make sure you know what his importance to the new roster is.

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